Monday, October 21, 2019

O-Ring Theory of Development and its importance on a company organization, HR, output & wages


Came across this economic theory by chance (on the Marginal Revolution Blog - Tyler Cowen and Alex Tabarrok) and it was surprisingly insightful, simple and helped to structure my line of thought on the areas of: Management, Organization setup and the importance of Areas of Excellence within an organization. 

Additionally, it also explains the pay gap between excellent (A-players) and very good & below associates (B/C/D - Players).

I strongly advise you to see the video of 19 minutes that provides a great overview of this theory (so you can also understand the math).

So the O-Ring Theory of Development (Michael Kremer, 1993) is underpinned by the following assumptions:
  1. Production (broad sense) depends on completing a number of tasks;
  2. Failure or quality curtailment of any task reduces the entire product (weakest link problem);
  3. Quantity cannot substitute quality (2 mediocre Finance Directors will not do a better job than a great Finance Director)
If you take a broad approach to this production function you have a company or even an entire economy.

Main practical deliverables of such theory:
  • Quality matching - you should put your high quality workers together (preferentially allocated to the company areas of excellence, based on its value chain) and the other workers (B/C) also together, instead of mixing them up, as the results will be significantly better;
  • Higher quality it will imply better results (i.e. better outputs)
  • Higher outputs/results will result in better wages (macroeconomics 101) for any organization & that the function Output/Wages is not linear
  • The wage distribution is severely skewed to the right and the talent distribution follows a normal distribution (that is why small incremental talent on the top decile can have a significant impact on the associates wages);
  • Workers performing in high-skill firms will have higher wages than low-skill firms (look at the wage gap of tech/pharma companies compared with other industries);
  • Talent attracts Talent - High quality worker will want to work with other of the same standards (virtuous cycle)
  • There is an tremendous incentive to invest in skills/quality of the workers (company and and associates)
  • This theory has several "equilibria", meaning that if your are surrounded by high quality workers it pays-off to invest in becoming one, but if you are within a non-high quality organization it does not pay-off to invest, as your higher potential output will be severely curtailed by the others;
  • Capital will be allocated to high quality organizations or within the organization to the areas with the highest quality potential - so if you are investing within your organization make sure you have your A-team on that area.
You can think your organization is performing several activities throughout your value chain, thus applying this theory you can identify bottlenecks, linkages and complementarities and don't forget where are your areas of excellence based on the Value Proposition so you can have your A-players on it!






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