Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

3/02/2025

AI and Traffic Flow: Innovation, Emissions, and the Google Factor

An initiative by Google and the city of Manchester aims to use AI to dynamically regulate traffic lights across the Greater Manchester region. This is a great use case for AI technology, as studies show that 50% of car emissions at traffic intersections come from vehicles stopping and starting. Based on previous experiences in Brazil and India, traffic flow is expected to improve by up to 30%, while emissions could decrease by up to 10%. The only caveat is that, after reading The Age of Surveillance Capitalism by Shoshana Zuboff (https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/6776829635), I’m always looking for the catch—questioning what Google stands to gain beyond the explicit use case. In this particular instance, the implications seem both obvious and concerning. That said, opportunities like this should be explored and supported. However, we must remain vigilant and ensure that the inevitable data surplus we provide to companies like Google is not misused. (text revised LLM) https://content1.avplayer.com/6536783932d8a8365a0842d9/videos/65367e747ebff164c504fe60/65367e87c1aacf127d085a34/video.mp4?AV_TAGID=65367eb2aacb313497060747&pid=6536783932d8a8365a0842d9&cid=65367e8906c29393c30221d6&AV_TEMPID=65367eb2bc7bf3bcc50e2584&AV_PUBLISHERID=6536783932d8a8365a0842d9&av_qd1=6536806d667c2a96db026742&videoId=65367e747ebff164c504fe60

- Pedro

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2/23/2025

No te Pierdas Aprendemos Juntos 2030: Inspiración y Aprendizaje en Cada Charla

Aprendemos Juntos 2030" es una iniciativa de BBVA que no te puedes perder por su calidad, diversidad y la impresionante trayectoria de sus invitados, quienes aportan conocimiento y experiencia única. He visto muchas charlas sobre diversos temas y ninguna me ha decepcionado. Si ya no sabes qué ver en tus plataformas de streaming, échale un vistazo y aprendamos juntos (texto revisado por un LLM) En BBVA creemos posible una vida mejor en un mundo más sostenible y queremos ofrecerte las herramientas para enfrentar los grandes retos del futuro. En este canal descubrirás las historias más inspiradoras y los contenidos más útiles para afrontar tu día a día, animándonos a luchar por una sociedad más inclusiva y respetuosa con el planeta. Suscríbete y no te pierdas todas nuestras novedades, ¡te esperamos! https://www.youtube.com/@AprendemosJuntos/featured

- Pedro

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1/11/2025

How Games Shaped Probability, Strategy, and Economics

An excellent Economist’s Podcast that features Kelly Clancy—a neuroscientist, physicist, and author of Playing With Reality—discussing the profound impact of games on our lives and societal dynamics. Clancy emphasizes that games are a powerful form of learning, shaping how we think and interact with the world. Games like Chess, Go, Dice, and Cards introduced humanity to the concept of uncertainty, paving the way for probability theory (via Pascal and Fermat’s correspondence) and, subsequently, modern statistics. The episode also highlights the critical role of war games, such as Chess and Go, which evolved into more complex systems like Kriegsspiel. The latter was instrumental in training military officers and predicting battlefield outcomes, particularly during World War II. Clancy then connects this history to Game Theory, one of the most significant developments in economics, pioneered by John von Neumann. Game Theory has informed concepts like nuclear deterrence and continues to influence modern strategic thinking. However, it’s essential to complement it with insights from behavioral economics to understand human decision-making fully. The takeaway? Games are not just entertainment; they’re essential tools for education and skill-building. They can influence our behavior, shape our knowledge, and enhance problem-solving abilities. For instance, Miegakure (https://miegakure.com/) challenges players to solve problems in four dimensions—a fascinating way to expand your cognitive boundaries. All of this in just 38 minutes (at normal speed)—a fantastic return on your time! (revised by a LLM) The surprising ways in which games have changed the world—an interview with Kelly Clancy https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2024/11/27/the-surprising-ways-in-which-games-have-changed-the-world-an-interview-with-kelly-clancy

- Pedro

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How Machine Learning Is Revolutionizing Economic Thinking

A Sendhil Mullainathan delivered a fantastic keynote on Economics in the Age of Algorithms, a talk lasting approximately one hour (at normal speed). In it, he compellingly argues that algorithms (machine learning, AI, etc.) are, at their core, economics. Among the many fascinating topics he covered, I particularly enjoyed how he framed the difference between Estimation and Prediction. Estimation represents the traditional approach to tackling problems, while Prediction is the newer approach enabled by supervised learning (ML). In essence, estimation focuses on optimizing the estimated Beta, while prediction aims to optimize the estimated Y. Sophisticated algorithms that optimize Y (the prediction) are remarkably valuable for uncovering new and strikingly original hypotheses. However, economists (humans) play a crucial role in designing recommendations for payoffs and loss functions, ensuring that ML outputs are meaningful and actionable. Did this triggered your interest? Sit back, relax, and enjoy an hour of insights from one of the great economic minds! (text revised by a LLM) https://videosolutions.mediasite.com/Mediasite/Play/cb9d64c0274d4aae98b61dd6779791b31d?playfrom=970000

- Pedro

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1/02/2025

10 Trends to Watch in 2025: Insights from Tom Standage

10 Trends to Watch in 2025, Inspired by Tom Standage’s Insights 1-America First Redux Geopolitical shifts will unfold as the U.S. doubles down on its "America First" policy. 2-A Call for Change Macro-political transformations are imminent, driven by demands for reform in nearly every major election of 2024. 3-Heightened Instability in Europe and the Middle East A transactional approach from the new U.S. administration could exacerbate tensions in these regions. 4-The Tariff Tsunami Expect more tariffs, with ripple effects on global trade and economic growth. 5-The Clean-Tech Boom China's advancements in clean technology could revolutionize the energy sector worldwide. 6-Inflation and Fiscal Tightening Most economies are gearing up for stricter fiscal policies, raising questions about growth and voter approval. 7-The Politics of Aging Could age limits for political leaders become a global trend? 8-AI Revolution Agentic AI systems are poised to become the most transformative innovation since the internet. 9-Tourism Backlash The pushback against overtourism will reshape the travel industry. 10-Expect the Unexpected From global pandemics to solar storms, the world must brace for unpredictable disruptions. Stay tuned for a deeper dive into each of these trends in the near future. (text revised by a LLM) Tom Standage’s ten trends to watch in 2025 https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2024/11/18/tom-standages-ten-trends-to-watch-in-2025 From The Economist

- Pedro

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12/14/2024

The world ahead 2025 - Economist

The world ahead 2025 from the Economist. A must read, more on it in the near future. https://www.economist.com/topics/the-world-ahead-2025

- Pedro

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11/23/2024

Benoît Mandelbrot: Why Fractals and Power Laws Redefine Science and Economics

This 7-hour interview with Benoît Mandelbrot offers a captivating deep dive into his life, encompassing his childhood, upbringing, education, professional career, and groundbreaking research. It provides a thorough perspective on his unique approach to science, emphasizing the interconnectedness of various fields—mathematics, physics, economics, biology, finance, and more. Key insights I took away: Family Influence: Mandelbrot’s family played a critical role in nurturing his interest in mathematics and creating an environment for his intellectual development. Geometric Approach to Mathematics: He championed a visual, geometrical perspective over purely analytical methods. Mentorship and Collaboration: Mandelbrot’s interactions with intellectual giants such as Kolmogorov, Nabokov, Heisenberg, von Neumann, Gaston Maurice Julia, Paul Lévy, and Max Delbrück enriched his understanding across disciplines. Power-Law Distribution: While randomness in physics follows Gaussian distributions, Mandelbrot highlighted the dominance of power-law distributions in social sciences (e.g., Pareto income distribution, city sizes). Role of Private Sector: IBM provided Mandelbrot with the resources and freedom to pursue his groundbreaking work. Measuring Roughness and Fractals: Mandelbrot’s pioneering study of fractals revealed their significance in understanding patterns across multiple domains, including finance. Insights into Finance and Economics: He argued that finance and economics are fundamentally different from physics. Traditional Gaussian approaches to risk management fail to capture the realities of financial systems, which are better modeled using fractal geometry and power-law distributions. Some individuals truly stand apart, and Mandelbrot is one of those rare, extraordinary minds. Personal Takeaway For my own work in finance and economics, this interview reinforced the urgency of studying Mandelbrot’s approaches to risk and systems in depth. If you’re interested and willing to invest the time, I highly recommend watching this interview—it’s an inspiring exploration of a brilliant thinker’s journey. (text revised by LLM) "...Benoit B.[n 1] Mandelbrot[n 2] (20 November 1924 – 14 October 2010) was a Polish-born French-American mathematician and polymath with broad interests in the practical sciences, especially regarding what he labeled as "the art of roughness" of physical phenomena and "the uncontrolled element in life".[6][7][8] He referred to himself as a "fractalist"[9] and is recognized for his contribution to the field of fractal geometry, which included coining the word "fractal", as well as developing a theory of "roughness and self-similarity" in nature.[10] In 1936, at the age of 11, Mandelbrot and his family emigrated from Warsaw, Poland, to France. After World War II ended, Mandelbrot studied mathematics, graduating from universities in Paris and in the United States and receiving a master's degree in aeronautics from the California Institute of Technology. He spent most of his career in both the United States and France, having dual French and American citizenship. In 1958, he began a 35-year career at IBM, where he became an IBM Fellow, and periodically took leaves of absence to teach at Harvard University. At Harvard, following the publication of his study of U.S. commodity markets in relation to cotton futures, he taught economics and applied sciences. Because of his access to IBM's computers, Mandelbrot was one of the first to use computer graphics to create and display fractal geometric images, leading to his discovery of the Mandelbrot set in 1980. He showed how visual complexity can be created from simple rules. He said that things typically considered to be "rough", a "mess", or "chaotic", such as clouds or shorelines, actually had a "degree of order".[11] His math- and geometry-centered research included contributions to such fields as statistical physics, meteorology, hydrology, geomorphology, anatomy, taxonomy, neurology, linguistics, information technology, computer graphics, economics, geology, medicine, physical cosmology, engineering, chaos theory, econophysics, metallurgy, and the social sciences.[12] Toward the end of his career, he was Sterling Professor of Mathematical Sciences at Yale University, where he was the oldest professor in Yale's history to receive tenure.[13] Mandelbrot also held positions at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Université Lille Nord de France, Institute for Advanced Study and Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique. During his career, he received over 15 honorary doctorates and served on many science journals, along with winning numerous awards. His autobiography, The Fractalist: Memoir of a Scientific Maverick, was published posthumously in 2012. ..." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benoit_Mandelbrot https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVV0r6CmEsFwl4HlrIKxKmdpBAGYJ9AbR&si=9_ccF1Tln7wRLTjy

- Pedro

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11/07/2024

Winning Strategies in Game Theory: A Guide to Recurring Games and Tit-for-Tat

This 27-minute video provides a fantastic overview of Game Theory fundamentals, with a focus on recurring games—situations where you encounter the same strategic decisions with the same parties multiple times. It’s packed with valuable insights and makes game theory concepts easy to grasp. For recurring games, you'll learn why "tit-for-tat" is often the most effective strategy. Highly recommended for sales professionals who want to deepen their understanding of how to manage customer relationships strategically. I hope you enjoy it as much as I did! https://youtu.be/mScpHTIi-kM?si=JfJtqq3a425CxQ7p

- Pedro

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