Quote - Economic Forecasters conundrum - The signal and the noise - Silver

 “…economic forecasters face three fundamental challenges.

First, it is very hard to determine cause and effect from economic statistics alone. Second, the economy is always changing, so explanations of economic behavior that hold in one business cycle may not apply to future ones. And third, as bad as their forecasts have been, the data that economists have to work with isn't much good either. …”

If Humility Is So Important, Why Are Leaders So Arrogant?

What a great question and some potential answers are explained in the attached HBR article.

Is humility and humbleness so important in a leader? would say it depends, but the evidence is definitively contrarian to such claim (or it might be my representativeness bias kicking in, as the louder and histrionic CEOs get media attention).

 If Humility Is So Important, Why Are Leaders So Arrogant?

Generative AI chats (great tools but use it with caution)

 Example below see the print screens (are ordered top/down)

Is the automotive industry facing the first signs of a Kodak moment?

 something that should be analyzed in more depth in a future post.

China approves the world’s first flying taxi (economist.com

https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2023/10/25/china-approves-the-worlds-first-flying-taxi

Playing with generative AI

 Playing with generative AI to create images! Really breathtaking…

Israel / Hamas conflit 10/2023

Une intervention claire, mature et équilibrée. L'usage de la force ne fonctionne que lorsqu'il sert une stratégie politique pour résoudre une situation aussi complexe que ce conflit. 

https://www.youtube.com/live/Mpq5IxdDeqA?si=tBFTfMq6Wkt56OZG

 https://substack.com/@pedrosantospinto/note/c-42663771?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=13q5fd

Great complement to the book I’m reading from Nate Silver!

 Great complement to the book I’m reading from Nate Silver!

https://substack.com/@pedrosantospinto/note/c-42655721?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=13q5fd